The Fake European Championship

[Panda]

Two years ago we had the Fake World Cup, now we have the Fake European Championship.

This is a 64-team knockout tournament in which the outcome of the matches is based on the result the last time the teams played each other. If there is no previous meeting, world rankings will determine the winner. If the result is a draw, the tie goes to penalties (with the outcome of real-life penalty shoot-outs being used if they have occurred).

The tournament will include the 55 members of UEFA plus 9 more European teams who have been invited to take part and will last for the duration of the original Euro 2020 dates.

Round 1: 13th June
Round 2: 20th June
Round 3: 27th June
Quarter-finals: 4th July
Semi-finals: 8th July
Final: 12th July


There will be no seeding - it's a completely open draw so the two top-ranked teams could face each other in the 1st round. There will be a new draw for each round.

The 1st round draw will be up later!

[Panda]

1st round draw:

(whilst there are no seedings, each team's European ranking, based on an average of several world ranking systems, is shown next to each fixture)

53		v		2
20		v		55
1		v		50
58		v		39
29		v		47
36		v		3
60		v		42
22		v		48
12		v		27
31		v		24
46		v		44
56		v		57
41		v		30
14		v		37
6		v		49
11		v		63
51		v		52
64		v		35
45		v		19
28		v		43
54		v		23
7		v		10
21		v		8
62		v		16
13		v		33
17		v		40
38		v		25
4		v		61
5		v		26
59		v		32
9		v		15
18		v		34

[frag]

Local derby first up!

[Razzle Dazzle]

I fancy Englands chances in that one

[Panda]

Jun 12, 2020 16:05:43 GMT 1 frag said:

Local derby first up!

And not the only one in the first round!

[Last Dreamer]

Two my favourite countries were draw in one pair.

[raliverpool]

Isle of Man are defending champions of the Island games.

A 16 team tournament containing:

Åland Islands
Alderney
Falkland Islands
Frøya
Gotland
Greenland
Guernsey
Hitra
Jersey
Menorca
Orkney
Saare County
Shetland
Western Isles
Ynys Môn

[Panda]

1st round results:

53		0-8		2
20		1-1 (2-4p)		55
1		3-1		50
58		0-6		39
29		4-0		47
36		0-3		3
60		1-7		42
22		2-1		48
12		4-2		27
31		1-3		24
46		1-1 (7-6p)		44
56		0-0 (22-21p)		57
41		0-2		30
14		3-1		37
6		5-1		49
11		12-0		63
51		1-0		52
64		0-10		35
45		1-4		19
28		1-2		43
54		0-6		23
7		1-1 (5-3p)		10
21		0-6		8
62		0-11		16
13		2-0		33
17		2-2 (3-5p)		40
38		1-2		25
4		10-0		61
5		0-1		26
59		0-6		32
9		1-1 (4-2p)		15
18		1-0		34

I use a random number generator to decide the outcome of penalty shoot-outs, and yes, Guernsey v Gibraltar finished 22-21 on penalties, with each side taking 24 spot kicks.

[Panda]

2nd round draw:

14		v		3
26		v		42
2		v		30
29		v		56
1		v		4
43		v		25
24		v		7
35		v		16
23		v		51
11		v		46
39		v		22
32		v		18
13		v		6
12		v		55
8		v		19
9		v		40

[Shireblogger]

Holland fall at the first hurdle !

[Last Dreamer]

Guernsey vs Giblartar was epic.
Ireland won and now will play against another my favourite country.

[vastar iner]

Interesting that at least 4 of the 6 shoot-outs won by the team going first, which backs up the calculation that the team going first has a 60% chance of winning.

[frag]

Jun 14, 2020 16:12:42 GMT 1 vastar iner said:

Interesting that at least 4 of the 6 shoot-outs won by the team going first, which backs up the calculation that the team going first has a 60% chance of winning.

The team going second can win 4-2. 5-3, though, can only happen in favour of the team going first.

[Panda]

Jun 14, 2020 16:12:42 GMT 1 vastar iner said:

Interesting that at least 4 of the 6 shoot-outs won by the team going first, which backs up the calculation that the team going first has a 60% chance of winning.

A (virtual) coin toss is done to determine which team goes first in the shoot-out. The team going second has a slight reduction in terms of the chances of scoring each penalty, as does the away team.

So for this competition, if the home team goes first in the shoot-out, they have an 80% chance of scoring each penalty, while the away team has a 70% chance. If the away team goes first, both teams have a 75% chance on each spot kick.

[Panda]

2nd round results:

14		0-6		3
26		2-0		42
2		2-1		30
29		5-0		56
1		0-1		4
43		0-2		25
24		0-3		7
35		0-1		16
23		8-1		51
11		3-1		46
39		2-1		22
32		1-0		18
13		2-1		6
12		2-0		55
8		1-2		19
9		4-0		40

[Panda]

3rd round draw:

3		v		4
9		v		23
25		v		39
29		v		2
7		v		26
12		v		13
16		v		11
19		v		32

[raliverpool]

Germany getting knocked out by Austria is the highlight shock result of the 2nd Round.

As for the third round France's reward for defeating top seeds Belgium is a tie against Spain. Ouch.

But could Scotland emulate the upset Austria achieved in the last round?

[Last Dreamer]

Well done, Belarus.
Get that European Championship title.

[frag]

Croatia v Czech Republic and Russia v Denmark will be actual Euro 2020 group matches, as would Scotland v England if the Scots get through the play-offs.

11 of the remaining 16 teams have qualified for Euro 2020, with four others in the play-offs. Only Slovenia have been knocked out.

[Panda]

Great news! Our friends across the Atlantic have decided to have their own tournament featuring teams from North, South and Central America and the Caribbean! 1st round draw will be made tonight!